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E-ISSN : 2249 - 4642 | P-ISSN: 2454 - 4671



The Mediating Effect of Bank Credit Between Monetary Variables and Productive Sectors in Iraq Using the Path Analysis Model

Saif Ali Yahya Hassan, Salah Mahdi Abbas Al-Birmani

Volume: 13 Issue: 4 2023


The study aimed to measure and analyze the direct and indirect effects of monetary variables (interest rate on bank credit, broad money supply, parallel exchange rate) on non-oil productive sectors with and without bank credit, which was used as a mediating variable. The study used quarterly data for the period 2004-2021. In order to measure the objective of the study, the path analysis model was used using IBM SPSS-AMOS software. The study concluded that the direct and indirect effects of monetary variables have a weak role in directing bank credit towards the productive sectors in Iraq, due to instabilities within the Iraqi macro-economy that do not encourage the granting of bank credit on the one hand, or do not encourage making investment decisions, especially the desired one, which is embodied in turbulence. Prices in the exchange markets on the other hand.

DOI: http://doi.org/10.37648/ijrssh.v13i04.009

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